Ag Market Commentary

Corn futures are trading fractions to either side of UNCH this morning. They saw 1 to 2 cent gains in most contracts on Wednesday, despite weak ethanol data. Support was from the lower dollar and higher ethanol prices, which followed crude (up 5.33% on the day). The weekly EIA report indicated ethanol production in the week of January 4 dropping another 11,000 barrels per day to 1 million bpd. That is the lowest production total since April 20 of last year. Stocks were up for the second week in a row, this time by 92,000 barrels to 23.254 million barrels. The Gulf and West Coast were the only regions to show reductions. --provided by Brugler Marketing & Management



Soybean futures are fractionally lower this morning. They posted 5 to 5 1/2 cent gains on Wednesday, after US/China trade talks concluded. Soymeal futures were up $1.40/ton, with soy oil 14 points higher. Following the 3-day meeting between US and China, a US trade representative stated one of the focuses was China’s pledge to buy a “substantial amount” of US goods. That is a follow up from earlier talks, with still few details on what, when, and how much will be purchased. With the government shutdown still ongoing, Export Sales data will not be released today. AgRural cut their Brazil production estimate by 4.5 MMT from November to 116.9 MMT. CONAB put out their updated estimates this morning at 118.8 MMT vs. 120 MMT last month.

--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management



Wheat futures are currently 1 1/2 lower to as much as 3/4 cents higher, with MPLS spring wheat the firmest class this morning. They were steady to 4 cents higher in most contracts on Wednesday. KC saw fractional losses in the back months. Taiwan bought 111,650 MT of US wheat in their recent tender on Wednesday. Egypt’s GASC purchased 415,000 MT of Russian wheat on Wednesday, with 295,000 MT for Feb 20-28 delivery and 120,000 MT for March 1-10 delivery. Algeria purchased 550,000 MT of optional origin wheat in a tender that closed on Tuesday. French 18/19 exports outside of the EU are now projected at 8.7 MMT by FranceAgriMer, down 0.1 MMT from last month.

--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management



Live cattle futures ended Wednesday with most contracts steady to 50 cents lower. Feeder cattle futures were down 20 to 80 cents. The CME feeder cattle index was up 7 cents on January 8 at $145.70. Wholesale boxed beef prices were lower on Wednesday afternoon. Choice boxes were down 14 cents at $213.84, with Select 79 cents lower at $206.47. USDA estimated WTD FI cattle slaughter at 357,000 head through Wednesday. That was 4,000 head above the same week last year. The FCE saw no sales on the 571 head offered online on Wednesday, with feedlots asking $125.

--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management



Lean Hog futures closed Wednesday with most contracts 47.5 cents to $1.525 higher. The CME Lean Hog Index was up 35 cents from the previous day @ $54.85 on January 7. The USDA pork carcass cutout value was down 49 cents on Wednesday afternoon at an average weighted price of $69.67. The national base cash hog carcass value was $1.02 higher in the PM report, with a weighted average of $51.19. This week’s FI hog slaughter through Wednesday was estimated at 1.423 million head, which was 54,000 head larger than the same week last year.

--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management



Cotton futures are trading very close to UNCH this morning, plus or minus a single tick from Wednesday’s close. They settled the Wednesday session with most nearby contracts 126 to 146 points in positive territory. Sharply higher crude oil prices and a weaker dollar were supportive. The dollar is a little firmer this morning. Some of the focus in the recent US/China trade talks was over China’s pledge to buy a substantial amount of US goods. At the moment, we have limited means for gauging current export demand with the government shutdown keeping the Export Sales reports from being released. The Cotlook A index was up 40 points from the previous day on January 8 at 81.90 cents/lb.

--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management






Market Commentary provided by:

Brugler Marketing & Management LLC
1908 N. 203rd St.Omaha, NE 68022
Phone: 402-697-3623
Fax: 402-289-2353
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Web: http://bruglermarketing.com

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